Q2, 2024
Key Highlights
Global economic growth is more robust and resilient than expected. Fed growth forecasts for 2024 were revised higher, from 1.4% to 2.1%.
Base case scenario: no hard landing.
The disinflation process is still ongoing. FED and ECB are ready to ease monetary policy. First rate cuts expected in June.
Dominant themes in the stock market are: Artificial Intelligence, the arms industry, and weight loss drugs.